After being a bit brief the other night on the news of the Haren trade in the midst of a crazy Christmas prep weekend, it’s time for me to hash this out a bit more.
I’ve been dismayed - though not surprised - to read a lot of negative comments from A’s fans in reaction to this trade, such as “Billy Beane and Lew Woolf don’t care about the fans,” “The A’s are cheap,” “I’m not an A’s fan anymore!” So, relax, breathe - it’s time for a reality check.
The A’s were not going to contend in 2008, even with Haren. The 2007 healthy checkup last week revealed that Chad Gaudin needs surgery, Rich Harden is still having elbow tendinitis, and Eric Chavez may not be ready to start the season. Couple that with the facts that last year’s batting average leader (Shannon Stewart) won’t be back and Bobby Crosby is still slated to play shortstop, and you have yourself another mediocre team.
I said it at the start of this offseason and I’ll say it again - there’s a big difference between “We are contenders” and “I think we might have a chance to contend.” If I’m saying the former, I’m going to make some moves to either a) get better this year, or b) stack myself for the future. The A’s, coming off their first losing season since 1998, were in a better position to do B than A, so they Beane logically chose B.
This was not about money. Really, enough with the “The A’s are cheap!” comments. It is well known that Dan Haren was considered a bargain for a pitcher of his caliber. The A’s could certainly afford him. This trade wasn’t about that. It was about selling high.
You can’t get much better than an affordable, 27-year-old pitcher coming off the best year of his career. If I have that, and I’m not contending, I strongly consider my options.
The A’s are a team that functions well with the strength of its farm system. All those stars who have come and gone? Giambi, Tejada, Hudson, Mulder, Zito? All spent time in the A’s minor league system. And with the exception of Mark Kotsay, every current A in the starting lineup has spent time as an A’s farmhand. That is just the way this team is built.
The system was pretty crappy before this trade, and now looks quite a bit more stacked. Baseball Prospectus ranked the A’s top 11 prospects five days before the big trade, and have now redone the list with the new acquisitions. Things shake out much, much better, as four of the six former Arizona prospects cracked the A’s top SEVEN. That means only three prospects who were A’s before last week were as good as or better than these new guys.
Billy Beane knows what he’s doing. Don’t worry, I’m not one of those “OMG, Billy is a genius!!1″ people, but I think he’s a pretty smart guy and he knows how to run the A’s. Remember the trades of Tim Hudson and Mark Mulder three years ago? I remember Linda Cohn scoffing on SportsCenter saying, “The A’s are now the Kansas City Royals west.” The reaction to this trade seems like the same knee-jerk reaction.
Sure, the two are very different situations. The Hudson and Mulder trades were retooling trades, while this was a rebuilding trade. Where Haren, Kiko Calero, Juan Cruz (bleh), Charles Thomas (yuck) and Dan Meyer (double yuck) were considered major league ready right way, probably only Dana Eveland will crack this year’s Opening Day roster, while the other five prospects will spend a year or two or three in the minors. But it was something that needed to be done to give the A’s a chance to have future success the way they are built to have success at all.
The A’s are in position for an early teens run, much like their early zeros run. By then, who knows? If Cisco Field opens in 2011 or 2012, they could be able to open the new park with a 26-year-old Carlos Gonzalez, a 26-year-old Daric Barton, a 24-year-old Brett Anderson, and so on. Then you’ll have a guy like fan favorite Nick Swisher, who, at age 30, could be extended thanks to the new revenue.
Of course, I could be delusionally optimistic and all these prospects could be busts and the A’s could go on a 10-year losing streak. But we’ve lived though the trades of not one, but two aces before. We can live through this one.